Wednesday, July 26, 2017

22 Troublesome Facts

Below are 22 realities to explain why 720Global does not recommend following the herd.

Equity/Bond Valuations

  1. The S&P 500 Cyclically Adjusted Price to Earnings (CAPE) valuation has only been greater on one occasion, the late 1990s. It is currently on par with levels preceding the Great Depression.
  2. CAPE valuation, when adjusted for the prevailing economic growth trend, is more overvalued than during the late 1920’s and the late 1990’s. (LINK)
  3. S&P 500 Price to Sales Ratio is at an all-time high
  4. Total domestic corporate profits (w/o IVA/CCAdj) have grown at an annualized rate of .097% over the last five years. Prior to this period and since 2000, five year annualized profit growth was 7.95%. (note- period included two recessions) (LINK)
  5. Over the last ten years, S&P 500 corporations have returned more money to shareholders via share buybacks and dividends than they have earned.
  6. The top 200 S&P 500 companies have pension shortfalls totaling $382 billion and corporations like GE spent more on share buybacks ($45b) than the size of their entire pension shortfall ($31b) which ranks as the largest in the S&P 500. (LINK)

You can read the rest and find the links @
https://www.720global.com/article/22-troublesome-facts-59788c344cd23

In other words, things are not as rosy as they seem.

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